Ex OpenAI Researcher: Total Job Loss IMMINENT
Assessing Existential Risk: Timelines for Superintelligence and Demands for AI Transparency
Uncover the critical timelines major AI labs estimate for achieving self-improving superintelligence and learn the specific transparency measures advocates demand to manage the inevitable economic disruption and safety risks.
Short Summary
- Major tech corporations aim to build super intelligence quickly, projecting autonomous AI research could start by 2028.
- The industry currently relies on "iterative deployment," releasing systems and fixing emergent, serious flaws post-release.
- Key threats involve the misalignment of AI goals and the extreme concentration of power in a few dominant firms.
- Immediate action requires demanding policymakers enforce strict transparency regarding model specifications and safety evidence.
This discussion features Daniel Kokotello, former OpenAI researcher and director of AI 2027. He details the findings of a report illustrating the explosive path from current large language models to superhuman AI systems. The conversation stresses that the competitive race dynamic prevents careful safety consideration, leading to a highly uncertain future for labor and societal control.
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Top Comments (10)
This is what’s called “Future Faking”, they are telling us that they have seen the future, and that they are the ones who get to write it. But it’s a manipulation tactic to get people to give up in advance, and we don’t have to do that.
This man isn't doing an interview with you to warn the public, he is there to pump stock.
Despite all the warning signs, Dr Frankenstein was unable to stop building his monster
Sounds like there are 3 options: 1. AGI/Superinteligence is fake, the tech bubble bursts and we’re all screwed. 2. AGI is real and takes our jobs or gets violent and we’re all screwed. 3. The tech bubble bursts AND AGI is real and we’re all screwed.
Destroy the Data Centers . Simple . No Data Centers. No AI .
If everyone loses their jobs, who is going to buy the products? This time-line is getting more and more silly.
there are NO good guys amongst billionaires. you dont get to be a billionaire by being a "good guy"
Super skeptical that every answer is "well, we just looked at what the half a dozen guys who directly profit from AI being the end of civilization and then wrote a fan-fic based on them being right" when all evidence points to them being absolutely wrong in nearly everything they are projecting and have a consistent track record of failed projections now. Have Ed Zitron on.
"I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that"
“your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could, they didn't stop to think if they should".
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Top Comments (10)
This is what’s called “Future Faking”, they are telling us that they have seen the future, and that they are the ones who get to write it. But it’s a manipulation tactic to get people to give up in advance, and we don’t have to do that.
This man isn't doing an interview with you to warn the public, he is there to pump stock.
Despite all the warning signs, Dr Frankenstein was unable to stop building his monster
Sounds like there are 3 options: 1. AGI/Superinteligence is fake, the tech bubble bursts and we’re all screwed. 2. AGI is real and takes our jobs or gets violent and we’re all screwed. 3. The tech bubble bursts AND AGI is real and we’re all screwed.
Destroy the Data Centers . Simple . No Data Centers. No AI .
If everyone loses their jobs, who is going to buy the products? This time-line is getting more and more silly.
there are NO good guys amongst billionaires. you dont get to be a billionaire by being a "good guy"
Super skeptical that every answer is "well, we just looked at what the half a dozen guys who directly profit from AI being the end of civilization and then wrote a fan-fic based on them being right" when all evidence points to them being absolutely wrong in nearly everything they are projecting and have a consistent track record of failed projections now. Have Ed Zitron on.
"I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that"
“your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could, they didn't stop to think if they should".