BITCOIN: THIS IS IT!!!!! (I called the top on the day - this is next prediction)
BTC Bear Trend Confirmed: Mastering Derisking and Next Steps
Solidify your trading strategy by recognizing when price action overrides bullish narratives and precisely timing your defense during market downtrends.
Short Summary
- Confirms BTC is in a confirmed bear trend on the MoneyLine, necessitating aggressive derisking measures initiated above $120K.
- Warns users against interpreting traditional bullish signals like the Death Cross when overall momentum (50WMA, MoneyLine) remains bearish.
- Highlights that market bounces within a bear phase are planned opportunities to derisk further, not reliable reversal signs.
- Emphasizes that the best long-term wealth creation occurs when the trend mechanically flips from bearish to bullish.
- Stresses decision-making must be probabilistic, focusing on superior risk management like laddering exposure instead of seeking deterministic certainty.
This session dissects recent market movements, invalidates common confusing narratives surrounding fundamentals and IPOs during a bear phase, and provides a pragmatic roadmap for navigating the current downturn. Knowing when to reduce risk is essential to capitalize on future growth opportunities.
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Top Comments (10)
You hedged at the right time granted, but you never called the top. You were always speaking as if it could go up or down. Calling the top is saying: "this is the top, sell up now"
I‘ve been out since 122k, I learned last cycle to listen to Ivan…
here for the tech (again)
Respect the damp😍🙏🏻
Fuck this. Nothing exciting about waiting a year for the bottom from here just to wait 3 more years for ATH and no alt season ever. See you in 2028. I'm not throwing more money at the fucking money line just to lose more through the bear. Fuck.
TA does not matter ; you have to follow the business cycle and QE; not necessarily the 4 years cycle to the teeth…
Ivan quoting War and Peace, a man of culture 🍷
Remember, you can always go to the beer market directly.
Bear cake lol
Who needs Richard heart attack or Scamdrei Jikh when you have Ivan
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Top Comments (10)
You hedged at the right time granted, but you never called the top. You were always speaking as if it could go up or down. Calling the top is saying: "this is the top, sell up now"
I‘ve been out since 122k, I learned last cycle to listen to Ivan…
here for the tech (again)
Respect the damp😍🙏🏻
Fuck this. Nothing exciting about waiting a year for the bottom from here just to wait 3 more years for ATH and no alt season ever. See you in 2028. I'm not throwing more money at the fucking money line just to lose more through the bear. Fuck.
TA does not matter ; you have to follow the business cycle and QE; not necessarily the 4 years cycle to the teeth…
Ivan quoting War and Peace, a man of culture 🍷
Remember, you can always go to the beer market directly.
Bear cake lol
Who needs Richard heart attack or Scamdrei Jikh when you have Ivan