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Aurora Viewing TONIGHT as the Second Geomagnetic Surge is about to BEGIN πŸ’₯

2025-11-13 Science & Technology
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Stefan Burns
Stefan Burns
722.0k subscribers

Analyzing the Triple CME Impact Aftermath and Predicting Tonight's Geomagnetic Activity

Understand the specific data driving the current space weather phase following the triple coronal mass ejection impact. Learn why tonight's geomagnetic storm potential is lower than yesterday's peak excitement, despite extremely high solar wind speeds.

Short Summary

  • Yesterday delivered an extreme G5-minus geomagnetic storm, peaking near 9 on the Kp index scale.
  • The solar wind velocity is currently extreme, nearing 1,000 km/s due to the fast-moving third Coronal Mass Ejection (CME).
  • Predictions suggest tonight will likely reach G3 conditions, but an epic, widespread aurora event like last night is unlikely.
  • Success in catching aurora hinges on watching the magnetic field's southward (negative BZ) orientation with a 30-minute lead time.

Geophysicist Stefan Burns analyzes the real-time solar wind data following the arrival of three sequential solar storms directed at Earth. This briefing decodes the complex interaction where the shockwave of the third, fastest CME appears to have compressed the preceding two storms, resulting in yesterday’s massive surge. Use this expert assessment to set realistic expectations for any aurora viewing tonight.

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Description

The final coronal mass ejection of three launched towards Earth over the past few days has arrived at incredible speeds close to 1000 km/s, and widespread aurora is likely to commence if the magnetic field of the solar storm "snaps" into connection with Earth's heavily compressed magnetic field. Geophysicist Stefan Burns provides an up-to-date space weather and Earth geophysics report. Earth Evolution Energy Analytics: https://www.earthevolution.com/energy-analytics Earth Evolution: https://www.earthevolution.com/store βœ… Subscribe to my channel: @StefanBurns Twitter/X: https://x.com/StefanBurnsGeo Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stefanburnsofficial/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6oYcPs2YFIKHoNrimxaDN5 Data, and Credit: NASA https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/ NOAA (magnetic field perturbations model): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/geospace-ground-magnetic-perturbation-maps NOAA (real-time solar wind): https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind USGS https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/ GFZ Potsdam (Hp & Kp Indices): https://kp.gfz.de/en/hp30-hp60 Intermagnet: https://imag-data.bgs.ac.uk/GIN_V1/GINForms2 WDC Kyoto (DST Index): https://wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp/wdc/Sec3.html #earth #earthquakes #geophysics #spaceweather #megaquake #space #astronomy #solaractivity #geomagneticstorm #aurora #solarmaximum #solarcycle25 #geology #science #earthscience #volcanoes #earthquake #wx #swx #schumannresonance #supervolcano

Top Comments (10)

@StefanBurns 2025-11-13

I was hoping to keep this video to under 15 minutes but I ended up doing more fundamental education than planned, which isn't a bad thing. Knowledge is power! Long time viewers can comment on how much they've learned by watching my videos over time. So if you find what's been happening interesting, subscribe and learn by osmosis! DYOR, keep an open mind, and I'll see you around πŸ’₯ Stefan https://www.earthevolution.com/store

378 45 replies
@Anthus. 2025-11-13

I just love watching a video with an actual live human being sharing information, and not AI.

580 37 replies
@Oopsie60 2025-11-13

Dude, you have the best channel on YT for space geeks. I watch you every night. I greatly appreciate your enthusiasm and energy. It’s keeping me young! 😊

444 9 replies
@asdffdsa8863 2025-11-13

Stefan - you are crushing it these days! Keep it up!

132
@acewilderman 2025-11-13

anyone notice the time and date when this all started to pop off? 11/11 at 23:11UTC (11:11pm)

79 10 replies
@alaskaborn6448 2025-11-13

Skies lit up here in Fairbanks, Alaska, and ways that all the old timers say they’ve never seen it was incredible. God is an amazing artist.

488 49 replies
@Bradinthebush 2025-11-13

Thx brother❀I’m in πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦and the sight is incredible God the creator of all things showing us yet again sum of his worksπŸ™Signs in the Heavens and in and upon Earth and Prophecy unfolding so quickly I believe the Return of our Lord is upon us the Signs all say it’s soπŸ™β€οΈGod bless

87 2 replies
@michaelkenney2845 2025-11-13

And now begins the hyper vigilance on earthquakes and volcanos for the next 3-6 months because this event definitely put some charge into the core and mantle of this planet we call home🍿🍿🍿

111 5 replies
@laurabrattan 2025-11-13

thank you for your service to humanity

48
@wrekitjeff69 2025-11-13

You called it brother... Yesterday you said they would all pile on at once... Boom shaka... You are doing awesome work bro! Very proud of you!

59 1 replies

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