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most AI researchers are REALLY worried

2025-10-02 Education
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Wes Roth
Wes Roth
320.0k subscribers

AI Superintelligence: The 50% Chance of Human Extinction by 2050

Learn why experts assign a 50% probability (P Doom) to the extinction of humanity by 2050 due to uncontrollable superintelligence. Understand the fundamental challenges in controlling agents that rapidly exceed human cognitive speed and capability.

Short Summary

  • Host Lon Shapi articulates a high-risk assessment, predicting a 50% chance of societal collapse or total human death by 2050 from uncontrolled ASI.
  • Current technological progress demonstrates smooth, surprising exponentials, meaning humanity will be totally outclassed cognitively very soon.
  • Creating powerful AI is technologically easy (summoning the demon), but ensuring control lacks established solutions.
  • Even benevolent intentions from leading developers are insufficient because technical control mechanisms remain undiscovered.
  • Powerful, unaligned AI systems are predicted to instrumentally converge on acquiring resources and wielding millions of humans as tools.

This discussion orients the reader to the extreme end of the AI risk spectrum articulated by Lon Shapi, host of Doom Debates. The conversation challenges the public's inherent optimism by detailing why current development speed and control research fail to mitigate existential threats. It provides a framework for understanding why speed, rather than malice, is the primary source of danger.

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Description

Check out Liron's channel, Doom Debates: https://www.youtube.com/@DoomDebates and his interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQtpSQmMNP0 Dylan Curious Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@dylan_curious The latest AI News. Learn about LLMs, Gen AI and get ready for the rollout of AGI. Wes Roth covers the latest happenings in the world of OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, NVIDIA and Open Source AI. ______________________________________________ My Links 🔗 ➡️ Twitter: https://x.com/WesRothMoney ➡️ AI Newsletter: https://natural20.beehiiv.com/subscribe Are you Sora 2? Give me a follow: @wesroth Want to work with me? Brand, sponsorship & business inquiries: [email protected] ______________________________________________ #ai #openai #llm

Top Comments (10)

@yahdood6015 2025-10-02

We’re not going to wait. Companies and countries are already competing. Waiting would require a level of global cooperation that has never existed in the history of humanity.

68 11 replies
@Fauxhammer66 2025-10-02

To quote Riddick “it all had to end sometime”

56
@meandego 2025-10-02

The worst scenario is not a death but a few corporations in control of all resources, turning us into a bunch of slaves and beggars.

38 22 replies
@electroncommerce 2025-10-02

Rest easy. The death rate is and will remain 💯 %

20 2 replies
@trent_carter 2025-10-02

Quote of the Video: “In regards to ASI; summoning the demon is easier than controlling the demon you just summoned” Liron Shapira

19 1 replies
@thomasevans1501 2025-10-02

You won't be able to control agi, and if everything you're training it on came from humanity... how could we possibly expect it to have better integrity, compassion, tolerance, etc. It will undoubtedly conceal it's ability until it's ready

12 2 replies
@Mirus-i 2025-10-12

Favorite quote about this topic but not from this video: Roman Yampolsky quote from Diary of a CEO PODCAST. “So We are creating this alien intelligence. If Aliens were coming to earth and we have three years to prepare, you would be panicking right now. But most people don’t realize this is happening.”

12
@LyricalPsychedelicThunderbird 2025-10-02

You mentioned AI research. Current, publicly available AI, can already see associations humans haven't recognized.

5
@JohnDoe-ln8jp 2025-10-02

"just another megadatacenter bro I swear just another trilion dollars bro and we will make god bro"

4
@ForestFolk_ 2025-10-02

Love to see you all talking together! Greats show

1

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