Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: Bull Market Support Band Status and Top Indicator Review
Determine if Bitcoin's current position below key moving averages signals the end of the cycle or a temporary consolidation before a final push. Learn which indicators suggest the cycle top might still be ahead, despite historical timing expectations.
Short Summary
- The pattern of falling below the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB) has occurred multiple times this cycle, usually preceding short, defined consolidation periods.
- Historical cycle theory mandates topping occurs in Q4 of the post-halving year, requiring focus on the present quarter for resolution.
- Bitcoin dominance is rising, indicating liquidity is funneling back to BTC, which must lead any potential final rally wave.
- Establish the 50-week Moving Average (50w MA) weekly close as the critical, cycle-ending validation criterion for this market structure.
This update analyzes Bitcoin's placement relative to the 20-week SMA/21-week EMA (the BMSB) and compares current conditions, particularly referencing monetary policy analogs (QT), against historical cycle behavior. The primary focus remains on determining if the standard Q4 top manifests or if a late rally is pending based on indicator readings and relative strength.
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Top Comments (10)
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Top Comments (10)
Wrote in to YouTube for a 0.1x speed button so that this can be a 5 hour BTC dominance video
My flight is delayed as the captain is watching Ben's video atm.
The main point of the video: My alts Your alts They’re fucked 😂
I stopped performing CPR on my grandma to watch this video.
Paused my deep REM sleep to watch this
I’m a doctor… I’m glad the video is over. I will continue with the heart surgery.
I’ll never be buying altcoins ever again.
Was about to sell all my crypto so the boys can finally have alt coin season but ben posted
Stopped my other Ben Cowen video to watch this
Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: https://intothecryptoverse.com