Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.2%
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Labor Market Weakness Drives Increased Fed Rate Cut Probability
Analyze the recent labor report showing underlying weakness in job growth, determining how this significantly shifts market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.
Short Summary
- Unemployment remains stable at 4.2%, but underlying job additions were significantly revised down across historical data points.
- Market expectations for a September rate cut surged from 39% to over 80% immediately following the weak employment figures.
- New entrants to the labor force are struggling disproportionately to find employment, indicating a slowdown in hiring activity.
- The pace of Ethereum’s potential market cycle top valuation is directly tied to its immediate ability to break $4K resistance.
This discussion breaks down specific data revisions from the latest labor report, analyzes the Federal Reserve's likely reaction function considering inflation fears, and reviews key technical signals for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
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Top Comments (10)
I work in construction and we are laying off people every week, we had over 900 employees and now down to 650 ish yeah it’s getting rough
Remember when they told the cole miners to learn to code, but it ended up being the coders who lost their jobs first to automation. They actually had to code the programs that replaced them.
the misprint on jobs data is different this time because it's 100k off
I lived in the Bellevue Washington area and tech has been laying off for the last 2 years. Also college graduates were having a hard time getting jobs and were settling for service hospitality jobs. This has been the situation for years and I thought Powell was late years ago. Jobs report has always been skewed.
Gentlemen, start the engine.
For me, the scary thought is, that the market will price in sept rate cut but tariff inflation hits at that point, meaning it doesn't happen. and markets nuke.
It's starting to look like stagflation.
Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: https://intothecryptoverse.com
grande benjamin un saludo desde chile. un abrazo
Our team was fired due to AI. So I am jobless now
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Top Comments (10)
I work in construction and we are laying off people every week, we had over 900 employees and now down to 650 ish yeah it’s getting rough
Remember when they told the cole miners to learn to code, but it ended up being the coders who lost their jobs first to automation. They actually had to code the programs that replaced them.
the misprint on jobs data is different this time because it's 100k off
I lived in the Bellevue Washington area and tech has been laying off for the last 2 years. Also college graduates were having a hard time getting jobs and were settling for service hospitality jobs. This has been the situation for years and I thought Powell was late years ago. Jobs report has always been skewed.
Gentlemen, start the engine.
For me, the scary thought is, that the market will price in sept rate cut but tariff inflation hits at that point, meaning it doesn't happen. and markets nuke.
It's starting to look like stagflation.
Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: https://intothecryptoverse.com
grande benjamin un saludo desde chile. un abrazo
Our team was fired due to AI. So I am jobless now