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BITCOIN: THIS IS IT!!!!! (I called the top on the day - this is next prediction)

2025-11-18 Entertainment
31.0k
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Ivan on Tech
Ivan on Tech
532.0k subscribers

BTC Bear Trend Confirmed: Mastering Derisking and Next Steps

Solidify your trading strategy by recognizing when price action overrides bullish narratives and precisely timing your defense during market downtrends.

Short Summary

  • Confirms BTC is in a confirmed bear trend on the MoneyLine, necessitating aggressive derisking measures initiated above $120K.
  • Warns users against interpreting traditional bullish signals like the Death Cross when overall momentum (50WMA, MoneyLine) remains bearish.
  • Highlights that market bounces within a bear phase are planned opportunities to derisk further, not reliable reversal signs.
  • Emphasizes that the best long-term wealth creation occurs when the trend mechanically flips from bearish to bullish.
  • Stresses decision-making must be probabilistic, focusing on superior risk management like laddering exposure instead of seeking deterministic certainty.

This session dissects recent market movements, invalidates common confusing narratives surrounding fundamentals and IPOs during a bear phase, and provides a pragmatic roadmap for navigating the current downturn. Knowing when to reduce risk is essential to capitalize on future growth opportunities.

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Description

🔥 BLACK FRIDAY DEAL: https://www.bullmania.com/blackfriday 🔥 SIGN UP FOR PIONEX ($1000 for signing up): https://www.pionex.com/en/activities/common/1126650384/Ivan/?referral=IvanOnTech 🔥 SIGN UP FOR BITUNIX ($100k worth of rewards): https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=tr3f 🔥 SIGN UP FOR WEEX (BIG BONUS): https://bit.ly/WEEXIVAN WEEX TUTORIAL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hJqOT3Zf_OA 👉 COPY MY PIONEX BOTS: https://www.pionex.com/en/activities/kol-follow-order?share_code=0SMXT2tLofD 👨‍🎓 PIONEX TUTORIAL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k-NiQ5hHp5o 🔥 SIGN UP FOR BYBIT ($30,000 BONUS): https://bit.ly/BYBITIVAN 00:00 Intro - BTC below 90K 00:23 The next steps - Most people still in lala land 01:01 BTC weekly chart - breaking support, means down quickly 01:34 We've been right since October 8th - recap of fake breakout 03:19 Ivan was an ugly bear 03:58 We turned bearish on October 9th 04:31 Official bear trend on the MoneyLine 05:16 Basing actions on the chart - Derisk even faster 05:55 Death cross - Normally we pump afterwards. This time will be different? 06:44 Situation is not the same - we are not in a uptrend 08:00 What do we do? 08:10 Welcome to the chat 08:37 The best is still ahead - Buying BTC at 50-60K is cheap thinking longterm 09:31 Harder to trade at the end of the cycle 10:03 Shout out to MoneyLine - Black Friday discount 11:46 What the next step is going to be - Salvation for trapped people 12:30 BTC weekly chart - recap of last bear market, derisk during bounces 14:12 Don't get trapped - I have learned through pain 16:05 The good news - We are chewing through the bear market 17:17 Recap of bull market stuff - Trump coin, SOL pumping, Melania coin 18:00 Signals were here 19:00 BTC, sentiment so low, max pain is higher 19:40 Bottom around 60K if bear market is here 20:20 Traders succesful in the same way - Unsuccesful in many ways 20:45 BTC vs M2 Money Supply as infotainement 21:16 Ki Young Ju - Called bear market way too early and now bullish 21:41 On chain is very inaccurate - Hyperliquid data is more accurate 22:46 BTC IPOs - infotainement 23:44 Distribution of OG whales like a normal cycle 24:23 ETF chart - Nobody is buying here 25:00 Textbook distribution of whales which causes downtrend 25:51 Arthur Hayes dumping like crazy 26:28 Coinbase video - bearish sentiment 29:21 DOT chart - Big wholesome tech, chart is at ATL 30:12 HODL-ing during a bear market requires mental toughness 31:34 Tom Lee mega bull video - Fundamentals are leading price 33:00 Charts are down despite fundamentals are leading - Look at the chart 35:08 Tom Lee video - On Ethereum. Bottoming this week 37:50 People listen to this - Look at the chart instead 38:25 Supercycle infotainment 39:30 Fundamentals will get their place in the next bull market 40:24 Big Beautiful Bill meme - Putin has the pictures 41:32 Shout out to MoneyLine - Black Friday deal 44:08 Q and A 44:30 Q1: SOL call to 1K? 46:25 Q2: Bullish. Breakfast on me? 47:19 Q3: Derisked at 116K. When to buy? 48:21 No donations from Pulsicans anymore 50:10 Shray wants to bet. Ivan is probabilistic 51:41 Never all in, never all out. Ladder in, ladder out 53:28 Learn trading for real - infinite opportunities for life 54:38 Q4: Another 50MA weekly candle means 100 percent bear? 56:34 Q5: You trader, me investor? 57:24 Prepare for the short-season with good risk management 58:23 Q6: Play 100K song? 58:34 Outro - Chewing through the bear

Top Comments (10)

@frixosfriedman7813 2025-11-18

You hedged at the right time granted, but you never called the top. You were always speaking as if it could go up or down. Calling the top is saying: "this is the top, sell up now"

54 5 replies
@apollo13audio 2025-11-18

I‘ve been out since 122k, I learned last cycle to listen to Ivan…

48 5 replies
@cryptohyper568 2025-11-18

here for the tech (again)

10 2 replies
@chickensandw1tch 2025-11-18

Respect the damp😍🙏🏻

9
@JoeyJoeJoShabidoo 2025-11-18

Fuck this. Nothing exciting about waiting a year for the bottom from here just to wait 3 more years for ATH and no alt season ever. See you in 2028. I'm not throwing more money at the fucking money line just to lose more through the bear. Fuck.

8
@eljefecrypto5022 2025-11-18

TA does not matter ; you have to follow the business cycle and QE; not necessarily the 4 years cycle to the teeth…

7
@javiercc379 2025-11-18

Ivan quoting War and Peace, a man of culture 🍷

7
@RayG_0318 2025-11-18

Remember, you can always go to the beer market directly.

5
@TheRealAD45 2025-11-18

Bear cake lol

4
@alohasnackbar1 2025-11-18

Who needs Richard heart attack or Scamdrei Jikh when you have Ivan

1

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