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Ukraine's Exhausted Army Crumbles as West Considers Intervention

2025-01-05 Entertainment
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The New Atlas
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Update on the conflict in Ukraine for January 5, 2025… - Ukrainian forces continue to suffer irreversible attrition prompting calls by Ukraine’s Western sponsors to begin drafting 18 year olds; - A French-trained and equipped brigade of over 4,500 troops is under investigation for large-scale desertions and reports of “abuse of power;” - Ukraine is losing manpower and equipment faster than it can be supplied to Ukraine, especially trained manpower and the larger units it is organized under; - A properly trained brigade can take up to 3 years to stand up, equip, and prepare for combat; - Western media admits Ukrainian forces are facing difficulties in holding Pokrovsk in the Donbass region as well as its shrinking area of operation in Russia’s Kursk region; - The fundamentals contributing to Ukraine’s incremental military collapse have not and cannot be addressed by its Western sponsors meaning only negotiations or more likely, Western intervention to create a Syria-style “buffer zone” will hold off a total collapse of Ukraine’s fighting capacity; - The US is likely waiting to maximize the cost imposed on Russian forces, its economy, and its geopolitical standing as the US places pressure along all of its periphery as the conflict in Ukraine continues; Resources: Business Insider - Ukraine is investigating its special French-trained brigade after reports of mass desertion and command problems (Jan. 3, 2025): https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-investigate-155th-mechanized-brigade-france-anne-kyiv-desertion-2025-1 NPR - Ukrainian soldiers and shopkeepers hold on as Russia's siege of Pokrovsk tightens(Jan. 2, 2025): https://www.npr.org/2025/01/02/nx-s1-5243882/russia-ukraine-war-pokrovsk France 24 - Desertions spark panic, and pardons, in Ukraine's army (Dec. 27, 2024): https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20241227-desertions-spark-panic-and-pardons-in-ukraine-s-army RFE/RL - Russia Advances, Ukraine Struggles, The War Turns Grimmer For Kyiv (Jan. 3, 2025): https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-russia-pokrovsk-donbas-war-offensive/33261303.html US DoD - Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine (Dec. 30, 2024): https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4017714/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/ The New Atlas - Will French Jets, Additional US Arms Help Change the Tide in Ukraine? (June 9, 2024): https://youtu.be/HPLMEH5cmxU?si=umXdy-67Pl10tY8D&t=2247 The New Atlas - Ukraine’s Manpower Crisis: No Amount of Money or Aid Can Solve It (Mar. 13, 2024): https://youtu.be/9LuLsmOUFYo?si=lzQulRNagfw2QqyW France 24 - Macron to supply Ukraine with Mirage 2000-5 warplanes and train pilots and troops in France (Jun. 2024): https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240606-%F0%9F%94%B4-macron-to-supply-ukraine-with-mirage-2000-5-warplanes-and-train-fighter-pilots-in-france US Army War College Quarterly - Expanding Brigade Combat Teams: IS the Training Base Adequate? (2017): https://press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2875&context=parameters Where to Find My Work: Website: https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/ Telegram: https://t.me/brianlovethailand Twitter: https://twitter.com/BrianJBerletic Odysee (YouTube alternative): https://odysee.com/@LandDestroyer:8 Rumble (YouTube alternative): https://rumble.com/c/c-1459863 Weibo: https://weibo.com/u/7726044004 ไบรอัน แฟนคลับ (Facebook): https://facebook.com/BrianThaiFanclub/ Line Group: https://lin.ee/JIxTpKe Gab: https://gab.com/BrianBerletic VK (Facebook alternative): https://vk.com/brianberletic How to Support my Work (and thank you!): Buy Me A Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheNewAtlas Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/landdestroyer PromptPay: 0851547235

Top Comments (10)

@ramie237 2025-01-05

Blinky wants child soldiers to fight his proxy war now.

438 39 replies
@juanitachicken9182 2025-01-05

Your geopolitical & military analysis and communication of this analysis is unparalleled.

205
@lorenciandrej 2025-01-05

We must admit, those Ukrainians trained in France, surrendered in time and quite professionally.

201 14 replies
@Fredmayve 2025-01-05

It was not just technical fears of Ukraine joining NATO. The EU and UK were openly coordinating to " get Crimea back" , UK got a contract to build a port and navy for Ukraine and sent a warship aggressively right up to Sevastopol. The UK openly on its Gov.uk website asserted intent to achieve a dominant position in the Black Sea. The US was overflying the Ukraine Russia border with nuclear capable B52 bombers. There were US biolabs all down the U - R border, also CIA bases. NATO built up and trained the Ukraine army to Europes largest standing army, with fascist battalions at its core. Large scale NATO - Ukraine exercises were being held in S. Ukraine close to Russia in the months before the SMO. Finally the 8 year long shelling of the Donbass by Ukraine ( edit, correction) was abruptly ramped up in a way that suggested imminent invasion. Boris Johnson rang Putin and screamed at him down the phone. There was a propoganda surge from the west proclaiming Russia was about to invade. Then Putin snapped. I have no doubt the bear poking and war prep would have continued until he did.

166 26 replies
@Theone-bc7tr 2025-01-05

Ukraine and zelensky getting more desperate

154 4 replies
@wtf_usa5597 2025-01-05

Thanks Brian!! 🙏

97
@educ8te 2025-01-05

Thank you Brian.Have a good 2025!

92
@lynnayers3783 2025-01-05

Waited eagerly for your take on where things are at. 😢Happy New Year Brian. 🎉

79
@christinecoughlan4699 2025-01-05

Muchas gracias por bien informarnos Brian , GRACIAS!! .

44
@jquint57 2025-01-05

the "Big Guy" gets 10% kickback on every arms package.

25

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