BITCOIN: MARKET IS SAD AND PATHETIC AND WEAK BIG ALERT!!!!!! whale explains
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Bitcoin Cycle Timing and Fakeout Risk Assessment
Assess the immediate daily bearish signal against the major weekly bullish trend to properly position for Bitcoin's potential move towards $150K or a significant retest.
Short Summary
- The Bitcoin daily chart flipped bearish, raising the immediate risk of a "fake out" rally failure, despite the weekly trend remaining strong.
- The speaker currently assigns a 70% probability to reaching $150K and 30% to weakness potentially testing the $100K flip level due to cycle timing.
- Positioning was adjusted by reducing aggressive leverage, preparing to short aggressively if a clear bearish flip emerges across the board.
- The host emphasizes that successful trading requires mechanical rules and risk management, applicable in both bull and bear markets, directing viewers to free training.
- Utilize trend and timing analysis to navigate market structure; the cycle is late in Q4 of the fourth year, demanding caution.
This session analyzes Bitcoin's critical junction following a recent all-time high. We balance high-conviction bullish outlooks (weekly trend, ETF inflows) against concerning daily signals suggesting a potential short-term fakeout failure common in late-cycle phases. Key takeaways focus on risk management changes and anticipating market rotation.
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Top Comments (10)
Bear market without altcoin season? That would be terrible.
I only tune in to watch because of Ivan’s jokes and funny lines “Grandpa Gold” 🤣
I don’t know how we can be bearish going into QE? At least for the next 3-6 months.
Everybody panick. There was 20b longs and 5b shorts. That's leveled now, higher. we at 122.5k.
Most of the Altcoins are still on a dman besr market...
It was not just gonna go from 111k to 150k straight shot, its gonna liquidity flush out along the way, thats easy money for market makers
BNB is CENTRALISED binance pump it how it wants 😅❤
Bitcoin is backed by energy and computing power. It has intrinsic value.
Patience you must have my young Basenji
4:23 take a sip of the vodka before the show?
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Top Comments (10)
Bear market without altcoin season? That would be terrible.
I only tune in to watch because of Ivan’s jokes and funny lines “Grandpa Gold” 🤣
I don’t know how we can be bearish going into QE? At least for the next 3-6 months.
Everybody panick. There was 20b longs and 5b shorts. That's leveled now, higher. we at 122.5k.
Most of the Altcoins are still on a dman besr market...
It was not just gonna go from 111k to 150k straight shot, its gonna liquidity flush out along the way, thats easy money for market makers
BNB is CENTRALISED binance pump it how it wants 😅❤
Bitcoin is backed by energy and computing power. It has intrinsic value.
Patience you must have my young Basenji
4:23 take a sip of the vodka before the show?