Fundstrat’s Mark Newton: Correction Coming? What It Means for Year-End

Fundstrat’s Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, joined Thoughtful Money to share his latest outlook for stocks, crypto, and commodities. 👉 Want daily insights from Mark Newton and Tom Lee? Start your 30-day free trial of Fundstrat research here: https://fsinsight.com/macro-services/?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=20250926-2 ⭐ FREE report from Fundstrat: https://research.fsinsight.com/snapshot-20250923/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=snapshot-20250926-2 📱 Follow Mark on X: @MarkNewtonCMT (https://x.com/MarkNewtonCMT) FOLLOW US FOR DAILY INSIGHTS! X: @fs_insight (https://x.com/fs_insight) Instagram: @fs_insight (https://www.instagram.com/fs_insight/) TikTok: @fs_insight (https://www.tiktok.com/@fs_insight) LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/fsinsight/ Merch Store: https://merch.fsinsight.com/ CONTACT US! [email protected] 0:00 - Congrats on the Accurate Rally Call – Technicals Driving Momentum 1:39 - Latest Technicals: Sentiment Neutral, Trends Strong Despite Overbought Signals 2:03 - April Fear to Today's Melt-Up: Tech & Small Caps Lead, But Breadth Falters 3:05 - Sentiment Mix: AAII, Fear & Greed, VIX Slope – No Rampant Froth Yet 4:02 - Economy Holding: Earnings Beat, Fed Cuts Despite Highs – Bullish Tilt 5:08 - Upside Limited Short-Term: Overbought RSI, Channel Top at 6,720 7:00 - Cycles & Seasonality: Choppiness in Oct-Nov, Buy Dips for Year-End Push 8:06 - Q4 Outlook: 75-100 Points Higher, Then Consolidation – No Major Top 12:05 - 2026 Tease: First-Year Correction Likely if We End Strong 12:53 - Near-Term: Melt-Up Continues, But Guarded on Cyclical Risks 13:56 - Year-End Target: Still 6,650; Reassess Post-Oct/Nov Pullback 16:43 - Macro Blindfold: Focus on Trends Over Backward-Looking Data 17:20 - Overbought? Valuations Near Highs – But Momentum Rules (P/S Critique) 19:20 - Valuation Trap: Buy High/Sell Higher – Intrinsic Value as Timing Flaw 21:15 - Meme Stocks & Crypto: Early Speculation, But Not 2021 Froth Levels 23:23 - All-Time Highs = Opportunity: O'Neal's Lesson – Momentum Over Mean Reversion 25:04 - Debt & Spending: Long-Term Worry, But Not Immediate Market Driver 27:53 - Trends Over Beliefs: Service Clients by Riding Winners, Not Fighting Them 28:30 - Valuations Matter Long-Term, But Poor Timing Tools – Stick to Trends 29:22 - Behavioral Edge: Sentiment Not Euphoric – Party Not Over Yet 30:28 - Dance Closer to Door? Short-Term Caution, But Trends Intact Till Break 31:03 - Midterm Cycle Weakness: 2026 as Worst of Four-Year Cycle 32:44 - Decades Best Year: 2025 Theory Supports Upside Despite Negativity 34:18 - Oil: Final Flush to $58-59, Then Bottom & Spring Rally into 2026 36:38 - Precious Metals: Gold to $3,800, Silver Catch-Up – Peak Oct, Pullback 40:17 - Crypto: Altcoins Heating Up – Ethereum to $5,500, Bitcoin $130k by Oct 42:34 - Social Mood: Deep Negativity a Contrarian Bull Signal – Cyclical Turmoil 47:27 - Parting Advice: Diversify, Ride Trends (10-Month MA), Ignore Noise 49:06 - Where to Follow: fsinsight.com, @MarkNewtonCMT, Funstrat.com 51:28 - Granny ETF: 94% Success Modeled After Rick Barry – Up 30% YTD 54:02 - For Prudent Investors: Trends + Fundamentals = Best Risk Management 57:34 - Wrap-Up: Ride Winners Till Evidence Changes All rights belong to Thoughtful Money LLC. This interview originally appeared on the Thoughtful Money YouTube channel. Watch their programs here:https://youtu.be/LuCm-CxsIXk?si=4IntuA-Rd8pV8bTS