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The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next

2026-03-12 People & Blogs
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White House war advisor ROBERT PAPE reveals why Trump is trapped in a war with Iran, the risk of a nuclear breakout, the role of China in the conflict, and how the US is losing control of the Middle East. Robert Pape is a renowned political scientist and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. He has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War. He explains: ▪️The 3 stages of the escalation trap locking the US into war ▪️Why precision smart bombs trick leaders into strategic failure ▪️The hidden reality of Iran's 400kg enriched uranium stockpile ▪️How killing the Supreme Leader made the Iranian regime more resilient ▪️The pattern that connects Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran 00:00 Intro 01:58 What’s Really Happening In The World Right Now 04:04 I’ve Worked With The White House For The Last 20 Years 08:59 What Really Happened When The U.S. Bombed Iran’s Nuclear Sites 12:00 Does Removing A Leader Actually End A Regime - Or Backfire? 16:08 Iran’s New Supreme Leader May Be Even More Hostile To The U.S. 26:07 The Escalation Scenario Few People Are Talking About 41:15 Ads 43:14 What The Next U.S.–Iran War Could Actually Look Like 47:34 What Happens If The U.S. Hadn’t Bombed Iran - Would War Be Worse? 52:09 Does Trump Really Influence Netanyahu’s Decisions? 54:05 Are Trump’s Global Decisions Driven By Legacy? 01:04:33 Could The World Be Heading Toward Another Genocide? 01:05:54 What Happens After “Stage 3”? 01:07:17 Ads 01:12:14 China’s Quiet Strategy For Global Dominance 01:13:18 Is America’s Superpower Era Ending And Is China Next? 01:16:32 Why China May Benefit From A U.S. Conflict With Iran 01:22:54 The Real Long-Term Prize The U.S. Is Fighting For Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com Follow Robert: X - https://x.com/ProfessorPape LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/robert-pape/ Substack - https://substack.com/@professorrobertpape The Diary Of A CEO: ▪️Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/ ▪️Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook ▪️The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt ▪️The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb ▪️Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ▪️Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Stan - https://coach.stan.store/?ref=stevenbartlett&utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=episode1 Fiverr - https://fiverr.com/diary and get 10% off your first order when you use code DIARY Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven

Top Comments (10)

@rickthomason4393 2026-03-12

‘We’re losing control.’ Sir, we never HAD control.

1.1k 38 replies
@michaelrauch3285 2026-03-12

Just remember folks, the first thing to die in any war is the truth!

956 36 replies
@AwtaMadik 2026-03-13

He's advised 2 decades of presidents and look where were at.....

938 95 replies
@AsadShah444 2026-03-12

Listen to Iranian people who know the ground reality rather than these bunch of lies who is laughing when killing people

557 44 replies
@DBGODIIIVIII 2026-03-13

This guy is feeding the narrative

554 76 replies
@davidjudd2283 2026-03-12

"Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat " - Sun Tzu

443 12 replies
@artclubufaufa7563 2026-03-12

They killed his Dad, wife and little daughter

258 74 replies
@joshuakeith256 2026-03-12

Don't forget media controlled. They have to show you what they want you to know as well never forget that.

193 12 replies
@mazdaknazemi8268 2026-03-13

iranian here , this show was super low quality , far from reality and what is happening. and seems funny rather than wrong .

18 6 replies
@krystiansainz6770 2026-03-13

How do they know about uranium for 16 bombs?

13 2 replies

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