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LLMs can't reason

2025-11-02 Education
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Wes Roth
Wes Roth
320.0k subscribers

Deconstructing Logical Fallacies in the Debate Over LLM Reasoning Capabilities

Stop arguing based on composition and start demanding objective tests. This analysis unpacks the fear-driven fallacies preventing clear debate about AI intelligence and shows you how to establish rigorous standards for capability.

Short Summary

  • Identify and understand the common logical errors, particularly "justism," used to dismiss AI achievements outright.
  • Establish that functional proof (passing a test) overrides philosophical arguments about an entity's underlying mechanics (e.g., gears vs. silicon).
  • Recognize that opposition to recognized AI capabilities often stems from primal fear, leading to moving goalposts.

This session critiques the frustrating discussions surrounding LLM reasoning, understanding, and thinking. The speaker argues that dismissing AI based on what it "is" (just a predictor) ignores what it can do. To evaluate any entity—human, rock, or LLM—we must agree on concrete, functional tests rather than relying on reactive emotional opposition or composition bias.

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Description

The latest AI News. Learn about LLMs, Gen AI and get ready for the rollout of AGI. Wes Roth covers the latest happenings in the world of OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, NVIDIA and Open Source AI. ______________________________________________ My Links 🔗 ➡️ Twitter: https://x.com/WesRothMoney ➡️ AI Newsletter: https://natural20.beehiiv.com/subscribe Want to work with me? Brand, sponsorship & business inquiries: [email protected] Check out my AI Podcast where me and Dylan interview AI experts: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLb1th0f6y4XSKLYenSVDUXFjSHsZTTfhk ______________________________________________ 00:00 Can LLMs Reason? 02:08 How to Test if Something "Can" 06:42 Logic Fail 11:20 AI Hate 15:17 Shifting Goalposts 19:19 AI Derangement 28:55 How AI triggers people 33:39 Don't Lie to Yourself #ai #openai #llm

Top Comments (10)

@aremoreequal 2025-11-02

You've basically touched on a question I've been struggling with ever since the invention of Twitter: Can all humans reason? - In my experience, the answer seems to be: NO.

156 48 replies
@PitchWheel 2025-11-02

I don't think that llms think therefore I'm a llm

94 17 replies
@StigNorland 2025-11-02

I have used AI to explore novel ideas in physics, and the model I use have no problem understanding my arguments and build testable models from them. I have seen it synthesize whole ideas from a novel idea seed, very impressive reasoning abilities, that very few humans would beat.

53 18 replies
@haukauntrie 2025-11-02

Always remembering Zenyatta's voice line from Overwatch for that question: "Can I reason? ... Can a submarine swim?"

35 4 replies
@FrerkMeyer 2025-11-02

I'm a human being trained in logic reasoning. The statement "No, LLMS cannot reason" means " All LLMS cannot reason". And the opposite is not "All LLMS can reason", but "There exists at least one LLM that can reason". And to prove this I need 1. a LLM that can reason and 2. a test if it can reason (where we all agree an this is the right test).

10 3 replies
@iOMNetwork 2025-11-02

Much love for you. You are one of my favorite next-token predictors. The Problem is that most peole understand "next-token-predictor" in a way their Smartphone Keyboard works. If we talk about Ai being a next-token predictor one has to ask if we are much different to that. The functions are the same. Throw the 4 most advanced models into one chat and let them figure out if humans are actually intelligent and if they MIGHT be just a different form of transformer. They are going to analyze and debate. The one thing they wont do: question their own intelligence,

8 2 replies
@arnoldp212 2025-11-02

The clock is a collection of elements that got organized in a way so they tick and tock, and we interpret their movement as time. I’m sure there are better examples

7 3 replies
@Sarkkoth 2025-11-02

It's a lot of goalpost moving and purity tests. What matters most imo is if it can produce good results.

5 1 replies
@I86282 2025-11-02

Hot damn.! One of your best episodes ever.!! Literally a PSA to humanity.!!!

3 2 replies
@johnsiliquini3274 2025-11-02

Thanks excellent treatment of the topic Wes. Love your work.

2 1 replies

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