Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Bitcoin's Post-Halving Cycle Timing and Key Topping Indicators
Confirm historical patterns are repeating as Bitcoin hits an ATH, but discipline is required to watch key technical indicators signaling the cycle top, primarily concentrated within Q4.
Short Summary
- Bitcoin validated historical cycle theories by achieving a new All-Time High (ATH) in Q4 of the post-halving year.
- Key structural timing signals (August high, September low, Q4 rally) mapped closely to past cycles (2013, 2017, 2021).
- Watch for specific bearish confirmation signals, like the 50-week Moving Average break, which traditionally confirms market cycle tops. This analysis reviews how October's ATH reinforces established Bitcoin cycle timing models, highlighting specific technical levels to monitor for potential tops rather than relying solely on elapsed time.
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Top Comments (10)
like alts, my eyesight bleeds to Bitcoin
Ben put his glasses on. He can now see Bitcoin dominance levels clearly
"I don't have a crystal ball" is exactly what someone who has a crystal ball would say.
It would be interesting if you were to do a video focused only on the factors supporting (pi cycle, sentiment, delayed Fed cutting, etc) and factors against (i.e. history) whether or not the cycle may extend into 2026 or end in Q4, and also whether the 4 year cycle was really just alignment with M2 liquidity & business cycle or whether it really was BTC / halfing related.
Cancelled today's funeral for this video.
this support band is holding up better then the support band with my wife 🤣
Ben, there is an important topic that maybe you could talk about in a future video, which is: if we don't get euphoria this cycle, do we get panic later on? Or are they co-dependent?
To anyone reading this experiencing their first cycle: This is the time to listen and pay attention. Ben is probably the most credible analyst out here. The end is probably nearing, you should keep up with this updates.
I told my boss I had an emergency — he didn’t need to know it was a new Ben Cowen upload.
Thanks Ben, I bailed on a wedding today to watch this video. It was worth it
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Top Comments (10)
like alts, my eyesight bleeds to Bitcoin
Ben put his glasses on. He can now see Bitcoin dominance levels clearly
"I don't have a crystal ball" is exactly what someone who has a crystal ball would say.
It would be interesting if you were to do a video focused only on the factors supporting (pi cycle, sentiment, delayed Fed cutting, etc) and factors against (i.e. history) whether or not the cycle may extend into 2026 or end in Q4, and also whether the 4 year cycle was really just alignment with M2 liquidity & business cycle or whether it really was BTC / halfing related.
Cancelled today's funeral for this video.
this support band is holding up better then the support band with my wife 🤣
Ben, there is an important topic that maybe you could talk about in a future video, which is: if we don't get euphoria this cycle, do we get panic later on? Or are they co-dependent?
To anyone reading this experiencing their first cycle: This is the time to listen and pay attention. Ben is probably the most credible analyst out here. The end is probably nearing, you should keep up with this updates.
I told my boss I had an emergency — he didn’t need to know it was a new Ben Cowen upload.
Thanks Ben, I bailed on a wedding today to watch this video. It was worth it