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Rivalry Week Prediction Show | CFP Rankings Reaction | Lane Kiffin Latest | Week 14 Upset Alerts

2025-11-26 Sports
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Rivalry Week Mayhem: Defending Objective Rankings Against CFP Bias

Discover why established committee metrics often fail subjectivity, preview the biggest rivalry games dictating CFP order, and review key coaching search updates including the Lane Kiffin decision.

Short Summary

  • Expect Selection Sunday chaos as numerous two-loss teams jostle for limited spots, heightening the need for clearly defined metrics.
  • The host vehemently argues against the "eyeball test," demanding the committee strictly adhere to preset parameters like head-to-head results.
  • Predictions focus on critical rivalry outcomes: Ohio State vs. Michigan hinges on rushing yards, while Alabama/Auburn determines SEC title participants.
  • The independent JP Poll offers a different look at team strength, showing smaller gaps between the top Big Ten contenders than the CFP committee suggests.

This episode provides crucial analysis on the final week of the regular season, framing the key statistical advantages in rivalry matchups like The Game and the Iron Bowl. Furthermore, it updates listeners on major coaching changes and how the final rankings influence critical at-large seeding and first-round byes in the expanded playoff format.

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Description

Week 14 College Football predictions are here as Rivalry Week is upon us. Ohio State vs Michigan and Alabama vs Auburn are in the spotlight. Can Ryan Day finally get over the hump against the Wolverines? What will Kalen DeBoer and the Tide look like on the road? Texas A&M vs Texas and Vanderbilt vs Tennessee also feature big in-state rivalry games with CFP implications. The CFP rankings were released tonight. What do we make of the top 10 headed into the final week of College Football’s regular season? Josh also updates his playoff predictions. What is the latest on the Lane Kiffin sweepstakes as Florida, LSU, and Ole Miss wait for an answer? Will we see CFP chaos in the final week of the College Football season? The JP Poll is also updated this evening and we take a look at games like UGA vs Georgia Tech, Miami vs Pitt, Oregon vs Washington, LSU vs Oklahoma, Virginia Tech vs Virginia, Ole Miss vs Mississippi State, and more. All that plus early best bets on the Ramen Noodle Express. Be sure to let us know what you think, SUBSCRIBE to the channel, and CLICK THE BELL for notifications as we bring you multiple live shows per week! SUBSCRIBE to the Josh Pate’s College Football Show Podcast: ​​ APPLE: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/josh-pates-college-football-show/id1485905502 SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/show/553DKKHsBSCOkrZdppJpeB?si=df113d35b81545ac Twitter: twitter.com/JoshPateCFB Instagram: instagram.com/JoshPateCFB TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@joshpatecfb FanDuel Giveaway Terms: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fo/ugdeii6m9oib130c5b161/AOdKYs-jJ6uqydZq-knz0dg?rlkey=i0r2drc7eh1cla1k85tmdjuie&e=1&st=mo1hk9c3&dl=0 Please enter our FanDuel sweepstakes through this giveaway form:  https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScvjha9-qieZjX-yFKX0NRw_-QW7xC9eFM5jFQ5ZIj8ytWQvA/viewform Sign Up for FanDuel: http://fanduel.com/joshpate Must be 21+ and present in select states (for Kansas, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino) or 18+ and present in D.C., KY or WY. Opt in req. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable profit boost tokens. Restrictions apply, including any token expiration and max wager amount. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat in Connecticut, or visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY in New York. Pate State X Magnolia Line 50% of profits of this line benefit the mission of Magnolia (See Website & Giving links below) * Website: https://www.themagnoliafoundation.com/ * Online Giving: https://www.themagnoliafoundation.com/give Purchase Magnolia X Pate State Merch here: https://www.patestatematerial.com/collections/magnolia-foundation-x-pate-state Use my code for 10% off your next SeatGeek order*: https://seatgeek.onelink.me/RrnK/PATE10 Sponsored by SeatGeek. *Restrictions apply. Max $20 discount #CollegeFootball #JoshPate #PateState

Top Comments (10)

@kevbelle6068 2025-11-26

Nooooooooooooooooo, Josh put the jinx on Michigan winning this game

149 26 replies
@GTES670 2025-11-26

When you named Jesus on this show won me over

122 11 replies
@bamaboy1067 2025-11-26

Last 10 games Notre Dame will have played 7 teams with a defense ranked 100 or higher. Inflated offensive production

67 54 replies
@calebjosephcountry 2025-11-26

That Robby Ashford Freudian slip was wild

38 2 replies
@JoshPateCFB 2025-11-26

Help us get to 500k....SUBSCRIBE to the channel! - JP

36 6 replies
@kenfrench279 2025-11-26

Thank you Josh, Jesus is the answer

21 1 replies
@willhowe6420 2025-11-26

The Robby Ashford slip really threw me for a loop 😂

16
@moopert86 2025-11-26

As a Buckeyes fan, everything you said is correct. Ohio State is the better team, with better QB and WRs. But that was the case last year too and they played a game that completely negated that and played into Michigan's strengths. Buckeyes should win by 2 TDs, but there's every chance Michigan sucks the life out of the game and wins a close one again. I don't know if I can survive it if that happens again, the loss last year crushed my soul.

13 8 replies
@calebowens8532 2025-11-26

It’s insane that teams get away with playing bad teams in the pre conference games and have 1 ranked win considered being in the playoff. If your conference isn’t very good you’d think you’d schedule P4 teams that are worth something. But these teams know if they don’t they’ll be considered anyways because the best teams they play are 8-4 in a bad conference.

5
@Hithereneighbor 2025-11-26

Bradley worked at Hot Topic in Montgomery?! In the mall?? And lived to tell the tale?!?! What a legend.

2

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